tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7778441.post6934824601737638751..comments2023-12-19T06:54:20.572-05:00Comments on Answer Girl: I don't know how reliable polls are.Ellen Clair Lambhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14944288413332520719noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7778441.post-35069991501502588112008-10-30T12:58:00.000-04:002008-10-30T12:58:00.000-04:00I don't find that believing or not believing the p...I don't find that believing or not believing the polls will relieve any anxiety<BR/><BR/>Toronto consort. Do you believe you heard a sackbut or a hurdygurdy?<BR/><BR/>RBoAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7778441.post-73844375582752152222008-10-30T12:23:00.000-04:002008-10-30T12:23:00.000-04:00I was in Barnes and Noble yesterday looking for a ...I was in Barnes and Noble yesterday looking for a book for my daughter in the YA section...and I heard two girls about 10 or so discussing Obama and how they wish they could vote for him. They were asking everyone in the store who they were voting for. It was interesting because when I was 10 I wasn't in tune with politics at all. I think it says a lot about this particular election.Karen Olsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05867709664100997228noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7778441.post-78378467727393487012008-10-30T12:07:00.000-04:002008-10-30T12:07:00.000-04:00I think the young voters will turn out in droves. ...I think the young voters will turn out in droves. You can call me a dreamer, but just looking at my girls, 18 and 20, who have already voted, makes me feel like there is a new generation stepping up to bat with determination to make a change. We live in hope.<BR/><BR/>Richard B.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7778441.post-26224996293246057682008-10-30T11:34:00.000-04:002008-10-30T11:34:00.000-04:00Also, to be fair, the unprecedented methods/amount...Also, to be fair, the unprecedented methods/amounts of fund raising, the record-breaking numbers of newly registered voters, significant shifts in demographics from state to state, and the criminal behavior of Republicans in power over the last two years. Four years. Eight years. Six days. Whatever.<BR/><BR/>For me, the biggest unknown is how important the new voters will be, and the unpredictability of voter turnout. Obama's campaign did an amazing job of getting people registered, no question. But getting everyone to turn up at the polls? I'm terrified that that just won't happen. Non-voting habits may be hard to break.Clairehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16402513189539866553noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7778441.post-473037077819865682008-10-30T10:26:00.000-04:002008-10-30T10:26:00.000-04:00The problem with the polls this year is a lack of ...The problem with the polls this year is a lack of a historical data base. The key to political polling is to sample a group, compare the results to previous results of the same group from previous years actual votes.<BR/><BR/>This year, there are a number of completely wild factors. The first "black" candidate. The first Marxist. The first woman republican. The low popularity of almost every congressman. The incredible crash of the financial markets(see wanderingmick for more on that). The totally wacko behavior of the democrat congressional leadership. There is more, but we'll see next week if all these pollsters are worth their money.JIM LAMBhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04401819524224868262noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7778441.post-84830316657493662322008-10-30T07:20:00.000-04:002008-10-30T07:20:00.000-04:00oh yeah, sorry again. the above post was from Jame...oh yeah, sorry again. the above post was from JamesAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7778441.post-17097697891874458512008-10-30T07:19:00.000-04:002008-10-30T07:19:00.000-04:00I hate to say it but I think in many states the na...I hate to say it but I think in many states the national elections will be decided by the courts. Both sides have people on the courthouse steps to argue the outcome.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7778441.post-16789327249832298292008-10-29T19:49:00.000-04:002008-10-29T19:49:00.000-04:00www.fivethirtyeight.comfor all your good polling n...www.fivethirtyeight.com<BR/><BR/>for all your good polling needs.Beahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15571476864239616769noreply@blogger.com